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Just Thinkin' About Bubble Teams

UPDATE BELOW

Everyone likes these "blind profile" exercises. I'm not really sure why -- Mystery! Intrigue! The excitement of the unknown! -- but I'll play the game and throw out some resumes.

Here are the parameters for the exercise:
  1. The teams indicated have no chance to earn an automatic qualification to the field;
  2. The teams indicated are purely bubble teams (I'm not going to throw out any red herrings, which eliminates fabricated mysterious drama);
  3. I'm going to utilize the efficiency data because, well, I want to.

The metrics I will utilize are as follows:

  1. Offensive efficiency national rank;
  2. Defensive efficiency national rank;
  3. Efficiency margin national rank;
  4. Strength of schedule rank (based on opponent's efficiency margin);
  5. Quality wins (wins are against teams with an efficiency margin in the nation's top 20);
  6. Record.

For the purposes of our discussion, let's say that you can only pick two teams from those presented. Who do you pick? Why do you pick them? Leave your comments below. I'll reveal the teams tomorrow.


TEAM A

METRICNATIONAL RANKVALUE
Offensive Efficiency(1)37.8967
Defensive Efficiency(30)27.5011
Efficiency Margin(4)10.3956
Strength of Schedule(20)0.9173
Quality Wins(2)Brown, Hopkins
Record-9-4


TEAM B

METRICNATIONAL RANKVALUE
Offensive Efficiency(10)34.3542
Defensive Efficiency(28)27.0856
Efficiency Margin(9)7.2686
Strength of Schedule(25)0.2085
Quality Wins(1)Cornell
Record-8-5


TEAM C

METRICNATIONAL RANKVALUE
Offensive Efficiency(32)28.8293
Defensive Efficiency(6)23.6832
Efficiency Margin(13)5.1461
Strength of Schedule(17)1.1458
Quality Wins(3)Navy, Ohio State, Georgetown
Record-9-3


TEAM D

METRICNATIONAL RANKVALUE
Offensive Efficiency(38)27.3307
Defensive Efficiency(4)23.3585
Efficiency Margin(19)3.9722
Strength of Schedule(19)0.9482
Quality Wins(3)Duke, Loyola, Ohio State
Record-7-6


TEAM E

METRICNATIONAL RANKVALUE
Offensive Efficiency(25)29.6290
Defensive Efficiency(27)27.0468
Efficiency Margin(26)2.5822
Strength of Schedule(45)-1.0738
Quality Wins(2)Drexel, Notre Dame
Record-10-4


TEAM F

METRICNATIONAL RANKVALUE
Offensive Efficiency(12)33.2881
Defensive Efficiency(38)29.7427
Efficiency Margin(20)3.5454
Strength of Schedule(11)1.8777
Quality Wins(2)Navy, Notre Dame
Record-8-5

---

UPDATE

Team A: Hofstra

Team B: Brown

Team C: Loyola

Team D: Notre Dame

Team E: Villanova

Team F: Georgetown

Ignoring the N.C.A.A.'s selection criteria, the best two teams I'd take from these profiles are Hofstra and Loyola, but what the hell do I know.

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